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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Since most sellers are buyers, inventory should be stable if demand is stable. This is what happened post 2010: The millennials started to buy homes in 2013 and they finance 90% of those homes. So you can see why we have so few stressed sellers. Demographics also play a role here.

Inventory 435
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“It seems impossible:” Bergen County, NJ’s housing market is vexing agents and buyers

Housing Wire

Altos considers any score above 30 to be a seller’s market. 70 towns, 90 new listings Local agents say the county’s tight inventory situation is largely to blame. “We When we were coming out of COVID we were seeing 15 to 20 offers on a house, where you’d have to make a spreadsheet to show your seller. as of March 6, 2024.

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

We saw this happen in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. NAR total inventory data 1,250,000 One thing about purchase application data and demand is that a traditional seller is typically a buyer of a home. New listing data is down 5% year to date, as you can imagine. This means less demand for housing.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

These were forced credit sellers, which means these sellers don’t sell to buy a home like a traditional seller does. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. As we can see below, none of that is happening today because the seller isn’t stressed.

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Buyers are overpaying, but are there signs of a bubble?

Housing Wire

Home prices have skyrocketed in the past year, and data from Redfin backs up what buyers, sellers, and agents have known for months. year-over-year to $336,200 in February – the largest increase since July 2013, according to the latest report from Redfin. The national average of home prices rose 14.4% by the end of 2021.

Buyers 545
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Can lower mortgage rates stop the housing recession?

Housing Wire

People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. They have to move as well, so a traditional seller is a buyer most of the time when it’s a primary resident owner. We see some of this in the active listing data as new listings are declining.

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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

Going back to 2013, I have stressed that my affordability index gets tripped up if mortgage rates get above 5.875% , and wrote about this in 2019 as we were about to enter my critical period of 2020-2024. From 2013 to 2022 I forecasted price growth every year. million in 2023. million for 2023. Housing recession.