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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

These were forced credit sellers, which means these sellers don’t sell to buy a home like a traditional seller does. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22

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The savagely unhealthy housing market is now a nightmare

Housing Wire

Now that we are almost in July, we can safely say the premise that once mortgage rates hit 4%, the mass panic selling of American homeowners who need to get out at all costs, driving total inventory up in the millions, hasn’t happened. Inventory skyrocketing back toward historical norms of 2 million to 2.5 million to return to normal.

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Existing home sales are still savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S. The one positive: Inventory is rising. Once total inventory levels reach 1.52-1.93

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. We saw this happen in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. The glaring difference between now and 2014 is that total inventory levels are roughly 1 million lower now than the peak of 2014. nominal per year at most.

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Can lower mortgage rates stop the housing recession?

Housing Wire

People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. They have to move as well, so a traditional seller is a buyer most of the time when it’s a primary resident owner. Traditionally, total inventory ranges between 2 to 2.5 NAR total inventory data.

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5 steps to choosing a home that will appreciate

Housing Wire

In 2020, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller price index reported the highest annual housing growth since 2013. Due to low inventory, sellers are able to put their homes up at a higher rate. And with today’s low interest rates, buyers have been rushing to purchase what’s available.