Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. months for the new home sales market.

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 492

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. From 2013 to 2022 I forecasted price growth every year.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 529

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2022

Now that we are almost in July, we can safely say the premise that once mortgage rates hit 4%, the mass panic selling of American homeowners who need to get out at all costs, driving total inventory up in the millions, hasn’t happened. Now that mortgage rates have risen, demand is getting hit, while we are still showing 14.8%

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 539

Housing Wire

MARCH 8, 2024

Real estate agents in the leafy suburbs of Bergen County, New Jersey say the current housing market — with historically low inventory and record-high prices — is actually more challenging than the multiple offer chaos they sweated through during the pandemic. “At Altos considers any score above 30 to be a seller’s market.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 13, 2023

Mortgage credit availability dropped in May, a consequence of a tougher mortgage landscape that has resulted in lender consolidation as well as high rates and limited inventory that has stretched consumer budgets. The monthly Mortgage Credit Availability Index fell by 3.1% and the Conforming MCAI dropped by 3.9%.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. 2014 was the last year total inventory grew.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 478

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 9, 2023

In 2022 it was all about finding a point in time when I thought mortgage rates would fall, which was key to understanding how the purchase application data would react to lower mortgage rates. We have had plenty of times in the previous decade when mortgage rates fell and demand improved, but that was with a lot lower mortgage rates.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 3, 2022

To say that mortgage rates have been on a wild Mr. Toad’s ride in 2022 is an understatement. People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 10, 2023

Housing inventory is near all-time lows, but big institutional investors like Invitation Homes or BlackRock aren’t to blame. market share at the peak level in this data line, which goes back to the start of the century. of market share in Q2. Are big Wall Street investors really buying 44% of homes this year? since 2000.

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Investors Inventory Buyers Real Estate 521

Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2022

I am going to do my best to try to make sense of what is happening with the housing market right now, since the years 2020-2024 have been a talking point of mine for years and my biggest concern since the fall of 2020 has been prices overheating — not having a deflationary collapse. . Total inventory grew this year, and sales were negative.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2022

The savagely unhealthy housing market is continuing as we get closer to August. But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S.

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Cleveland Appraisal Blog

JANUARY 5, 2023

We all needed some rest from the crazy housing market we’ve experienced in recent years. Like most markets across the country, the Cleveland area housing market has been red hot for the past few years. However, the markets have hit an abrupt slow down, or might I say, cool down, kind of like this ice skater experienced.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 2, 2020

I’m talking about housing market crash headlines. These dramatic peaks and valleys in the data have fed the demons of greed and fear that infest the minds our extreme housing bulls and the fierce housing market bears – leading to equally wild speculations about the future of U.S. Mortgage rates followed, which dampened demand.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 23, 2020

In the third quarter, luxury home sales jumped 41.5% , the biggest year-over-year shift since 2013, according to Redfin. And while real estate agents repping luxury homes aren’t seeing as many bidding wars as they did this summer , their respective housing markets are still crazy right now. 1, and runs through May 1.

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Housing Market Marketing Real Estate Agent Real Estate 534

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2020

housing market was the single best outperforming economic sector globally during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The reasons for that are solid demographics and low mortgage rates , which will not change much in 2021. For now, though, the low inventory means housing starts have legs to move higher. New Home Supply.

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Inventory Construction Government Housing Market 543

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2021

year-over-year to $336,200 in February – the largest increase since July 2013, according to the latest report from Redfin. Mortgage rates have also jumped to north of 3% ; at its current pace, the Mortgage Bankers Association is forecasting rates will reach nearly 3.5% Non-QM: New Market + New Rules = New Opportunities.

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Buyers Sellers Inventory New Listings 545

Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. Then in 2018, they had a supply spike as mortgage rates reached 5%.

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Construction Housing Market Inventory Marketing 498

Housing Wire

MAY 12, 2021

Even with historically low levels of inventory, rising mortgage rates and uneven job growth, experts still believe 2021 will be a record year for home sales. trillion in home sales this year, a 17% increase year over year — the largest annual percentage increase since 2013, and a number that, if reached, would be a record high.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2022

Mohtashami focused on the latest inventory and the Federal Reserve’s rate hike announcement. In 2013-2014, when rates jumped very fast, this index trended down by negative 20% year over year to hit an adjusted population all-time low in 2014. How will the announcement impact mortgage rates? What do you expect to hear?

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Inventory Investors Retail Housing Market 336

Housing Wire

MAY 6, 2022

So far this year, with the rise in mortgage rates, it is still trending better than I thought it would have with rates over 5%. HousingWire: Will inventory finally break the streak and be positive year over year? Logan Mohtashami: The year-over-year inventory trends will finally show some positive prints in the upcoming weeks.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 28, 2021

The Federal Open Market Committee left future economic policies virtually unchanged at its Wednesday meeting, indicating it has not made any near-term plans to taper its asset purchases of Treasury – and mortgage-backed securities (MBS).

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 418

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2022

year-over-year decline in existing home sales in September and total inventory has now fallen on back-to-back reports. Earlier in the year, I labeled this a savagely unhealthy housing market based on the premise that Inventory would break to all-time lows, creating forced bidding and causing days on the market to collapse.

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Housing Market Inventory New Listings Mortgage 283

Housing Wire

MARCH 8, 2021

While others might think of restarting outdoor activities or working in the garden, our industry is gearing up for a strong spring housing market – and the first step in what MBA is forecasting will be a record-breaking year of purchase origination volume. Another positive sign impacting MBA’s forecast: more than 15% of the U.S.

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Supply Chain Inventory Construction Marketing 531

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 23, 2021

Then, mortgage rates plummeted to historic-lows , opening the homebuying floodgates and propelling prices skyward. Rates have slowly climbed back towards 3% in the past few months, but inventory is still low , keeping prices high. Of course, this is all fantastic news for anyone looking to sell their home in 2021. December 2020’s 10.4%

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 20, 2020

In contrast, multifamily starts fell 16.4%, to one of the slowest monthly paces since 2013, not including this past April.” ” Mortgage Bankers Association Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni noted that single-family permits jumped 24.3% . “The former rose 8.5% over the month to 1.1

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Construction New Listings Housing Market Inventory 473

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2021

to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 775,000 in February — the sharpest month-over-month decline since 2013, according to estimates by the U.S. While some economists pointed to harsh weather as a likely deterrent of February home sales, others noted the plague of rising home prices, limited inventory and the uptick in mortgage rates.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

Tuesday’s new home sales report missed expectations and had negative revisions, which isn’t surprising given this sector of our economy simply can’t handle higher mortgage rates. Over the years, I have tried to emphasize that the housing market in the U.S. We had missed sales estimates in 2013, 2014 and 2015.

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Construction Housing Market Sellers Marketing 369

Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2021

In the new year, Mortgage Bankers Association chief economist Mike Fratantoni said the lack of inventory is the biggest constraint to further growth in home sales for 2021. More workers in the sector should support the faster pace of housing construction the market needs,” Fratantoni said.

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Housing Wire

MAY 9, 2022

housing market follow Canada? In short, the answer is no, we won’t have the type of home-price velocity that Canada has experienced because our housing market is more diverse than theirs. housing market is more tied to mortgage buyers. When mortgage rates rise, two things always happen here in America.

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Buyers Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 525

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2023

In a cyclical mortgage industry, hedging is key to maintaining a buffer against losses. Since launching as a call center in 2003, the California lender has expanded into the outside distributed retail model with a target on the purchase mortgage market, serviced its own loans and developed its tech stack in-house.

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Retail Business Agents Loan Officers 293

Clear Capital

AUGUST 30, 2021

The August 2021 Home Data Index (HDI ) Market Report shows national quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) home price growth is at 6.4 In that case, we encourage the consideration of the additional year-over-year comparison based upon price-per-square-foot, which may be more in line with market dynamics in this situation.

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Marketing Real Estate Inventory Construction 69

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 2, 2020

AmeriHome on Thursday became the latest mortgage lender to file for a public offering, the latest to do so amid a coronavirus pandemic that has helped spur record origination volume this year. ” AmeriHome, founded in 2013, operates correspondent and consumer direct channels , and also sports a related servicing division.

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Valuation Mortgage Business Modernization 238

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 5, 2021

But Mike Fratantoni, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association , said he expects construction to grow later in the year. “While it was little changed in January, we do anticipate further growth in the sector this year, which will help to address the critical shortage of housing inventory on the market,” Fratantoni said.

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