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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Since most sellers are buyers, inventory should be stable if demand is stable. So you can see why we have so few stressed sellers. A perfect example is that the last few years, new listings have been trending between 30,000 and 90,000 per week. Demographics also play a role here.

Inventory 441
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Post-2012, whenever mortgage rates rise, existing home sales always trend below 5 million. Homeowners are in a better financial situation now, they live in their homes longer and longer, so the inventory channels have been much different post-2012. New listing data is down 5% year to date, as you can imagine.

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Are we seeing a mortgage rate lockdown?

Housing Wire

Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter. It wasn’t the rate move that caught my attention — it was the new listing data. As you can see below, that sharp move to 6.25% caused new listing data to stall at first.

Mortgage 515
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Is housing inventory growth really slowing down?

Housing Wire

One of the most important housing market stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. Redfin : Realtor.com : Altos Research : Clearly, we are seeing a slowdown in new listings as the data has been negative now for months. What does this mean?

Inventory 519
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 518
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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

This means all those men and women since 2012 who have been saying its housing 2008 all over again on their YouTube , Twitter, Facebook and other social media outlets simply don’t have the proper training to talk about housing economics. crash, especially from 2012-2019. New listings are declining now. From Redfin.

Inventory 382
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

These were forced credit sellers, which means these sellers don’t sell to buy a home like a traditional seller does. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. As we can see below, none of that is happening today because the seller isn’t stressed.