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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 416
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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory falls

Housing Wire

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

Inventory 482
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Days on market grow despite low inventory for existing homes

Housing Wire

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. Total housing inventory fell in this report, the third report in a row that shows total inventory has decreased.

Inventory 459
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Buyers are overpaying, but are there signs of a bubble?

Housing Wire

Home prices have skyrocketed in the past year, and data from Redfin backs up what buyers, sellers, and agents have known for months. “Buyers outnumber sellers by such a huge margin that many homeowners are staying put because they know how hard it would be to find a place to move to. The national average of home prices rose 14.4%

Buyers 545
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Are we seeing a mortgage rate lockdown?

Housing Wire

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 513
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. Post-2012, whenever mortgage rates rise, existing home sales always trend below 5 million. The glaring difference between now and 2014 is that total inventory levels are roughly 1 million lower now than the peak of 2014.

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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! “The principal factor was the rapid increase in mortgage rates, which hurt housing affordability and reduced incentives for homeowners to list their homes. . Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.”

Inventory 505