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Logan Mohtashami’s 2024 housing market and rate forecast

Housing Wire

If I am wrong and mortgage rates go lower for longer and we don’t get more new listings in 2024, then home prices can grow faster in 2024 because we will have the same issue as before: too many people chasing too few homes. So, this is something to consider only if we see an increase in stressed inventory.

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Existing home sales are working from a historic low bar

Housing Wire

Remember, with median sales prices and inventory, it’s very seasonal. Something notable about this report: Total active listings as the NAR tracks them almost broke under 1 million again. However, remember, the dive in inventory is normal at this time of the year. Below are charts with today’s report and the trend.

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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Housing Inventory. Home price s. million in 2023.

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HINTS OF SHARP INCREASE IN NEW CONSTRUCTION

Will Springer Realtor

Others – Meritage Homes (+20% YoY in 2021) and Tri Point Homes (+15-30% YoY in 2022) – expect tremendous growth of new communities. And many of the new projects are larger than in years past. Builders began construction on just under a million single-family homes in 2020. New data show this subset of buyers accounted for 2.8%

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Will Springer Realtor - Untitled Article

Will Springer Realtor

This year’s “cold down” is stark, with 36% fewer new listings and about 26% fewer homes under contract (Pendings) for all King County home types combined as well as single-family structures alone – and that’s simply from October to November. months of inventory. Inventories across the county for all home types now stand at 2.2

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Affordability Woes Prompt Historic Housing Slowdown

Will Springer Realtor

Worsening affordability issues and lower-than-usual inventory have prompted many consumers to watch this housing market from the sidelines – without the picket lines. New listings for all home types in King County stood at 2157, a whopping 25% drop from September to October. Single-family inventory narrowed to 1.7

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Will Springer Realtor - Untitled Article

Will Springer Realtor

Housing inventory nationwide flipped from oversupply to undersupply about a dozen years ago when consumers and the banking industry began to slowly rebound financially from the Great Recession. America’s shortfall is most acute with the most vulnerable, as affordable housing inventory has been shrinking for decades. shy of the need.

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