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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52 The housing market shifted in March of this year.

Inventory 492
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Homebuilders are done until mortgage rates fall

Housing Wire

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. If it wasn’t for solid rental demand boosting multifamily construction this year — 18% year to date —this data line would have looked much worse.

Mortgage 529
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Logan Mohtashami unpacks the slow train wreck that’s been happening in housing inventory

Housing Wire

I always try to focus people on the total inventory data until we get inventory back into a range of 1.52-1.93 HousingWire: To add to that, since housing is in an inventory shortage, the market has changed, so the good news is inventory is growing. Months are homes under construction 0.8 Then this happened.

Training 390
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How to grow housing supply in 2021

Housing Wire

The reasons for that are solid demographics and low mortgage rates , which will not change much in 2021. months, builders will halt the rate of growth for new construction plans as they did in 2018 and again for a brief period this year. For now, though, the low inventory means housing starts have legs to move higher.

Inventory 543
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Logan Mohtashami’s 2024 housing market and rate forecast

Housing Wire

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Here’s my forecast for 2024: 10-year yield and mortgage rates For 2024, the 10-year yield range will be similar to 2023, but with a few different variables to watch. Instead, they closed 2023 at 6.67%.

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The uptick in housing activity will be temporary: Fannie Mae

Housing Wire

The mortgage industry started 2023 with optimism due to an increase in housing activity. Fannie Mae expects home sales to remain subdued for the remainder of 2023, although recent mortgage application data came in stronger than expected. million, it still marks the slowest annual pace of sales since 2011. million units.

Inventory 369
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Regulatory costs add nearly $94K to new home prices

Housing Wire

Of that $93,870, $41,330 is attributable to regulation during development, and $52,540 is due to regulation during construction. The study was filed out by 2,071 NAHB members and 57 developers, and nearly all of the builders — 98.9%, per the study — reported experiencing some type of regulatory cost during construction.