Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. months for the new home sales market.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 12, 2022

Early in 2021, when I was talking about how people should worry about home prices overheating, I had a glimmer of hope that maybe toward the end of 2021 we would be spared another seasonal collapse of inventory. Inventory always falls in the fall and winter, but I hoped it wouldn’t be a repeat of 2020.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 22, 2023

Going more in-depth than a Fed meeting, our virtual Housing Market Update event provides you with the strategy-building insights needed to operate in 2024. It’s a savagely unhealthy housing market out there, and these economists unpack what that means for you. Register for the virtual event on Dec.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 22, 2023

Mortgage rates dropped significantly in the last few weeks, but the cost of borrowing remains high prompting many homebuyers to wait for even lower rates. The 30-year, fixed mortgage rate averaged 7.29% for the week ending Nov. 22, according to Freddie Mac ‘s Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 22, 2023

The days on market are back to a teenager level in the existing home sales market, which means I can officially say we are back to a savagely unhealthy housing market! Nothing good happens in the housing market when the days on market are at a teenager level or lower. What do I mean by savagely unhealthy?

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 28, 2022

This article is part of our 2022-23 Housing Market Forecast series. Home Prices will fall, but don’t expect 2010. There will be two key differences between 2023 and 2010. First, mortgage lending standards have remained high after the last bubble. People can afford to pay their mortgages. months nationally.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 21, 2023

9, when mortgage rates started to fall from 7.37% to 5.99%. In 2022, it was all about affordability as mortgage rates had a historical rise. Even though mortgage rates were falling in November and December, positive purchase application data takes 30-90 days to hit the sales data. million in February. million in February 2022).

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 31, 2024

RealTrends has been tracking housing market data since 1979, including households, home sales, average mortgage rates , etc. Even during the downturn of 2006-2010, this factor only hit a low of 3.84% (2010). Mortgage rates are not likely to return to the 3.0% How bad was last year? The factor for 2023 was 3.58%.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 22, 2023

“Home sellers are buyers” — this is a phrase that I have been using in my economic work to explain the reality of the housing market recently. So, when home prices and mortgage rates rise so quickly, some sellers won’t list , which means they’re not buying either. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.3-month

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Mortgage rates. Home price s.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy. We can see that inventory falling to such low levels has created unhealthy home-price growth in both 2020 and 2021. Not even 5% mortgage rates in 2018 budged this data line too much.

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Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2023

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. The housing sector — especially real estate and mortgage — has seen significant layoffs , while the general economy will create more than 4 million jobs in 2022. Production falls. Incomes go down.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2022

Now that we are almost in July, we can safely say the premise that once mortgage rates hit 4%, the mass panic selling of American homeowners who need to get out at all costs, driving total inventory up in the millions, hasn’t happened. Now that mortgage rates have risen, demand is getting hit, while we are still showing 14.8%

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Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

Existing home sales fell in today’s report , which isn’t surprising, but one headline that shocked some people was that home prices are still up year over year, even with higher inventory and higher mortgage rates. Of course this isn’t the healthiest housing inventory story. from the previous year ($375,300). All four U.S.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2023

in September despite significant affordability hurdles weighing on the market, according to data released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Despite the slight gain, pending contracts remain at historically low levels due to the highest mortgage rates in 20 years,” Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist said in a statement.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 30, 2023

As mortgage rates edged near multi-decade highs, pending home sales declined 1.5% Historically high rates harmed the housing market in October Annualized existing home sales remained below 4 million in October, the lowest rate since 2010. Pending home sales in October fell to their lowest level since 2001. down from 72.6

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. However, this year has seen one big game-changer: the 10-year yield finally cracked over 1.94%, which drove mortgage rates over 4%. Inventory is always seasonal. Today inventory levels are at 1.02 million and 1.93

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. 2014 was the last year total inventory grew.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 24, 2023

Mortgage rate shot up again last week as the bond market continues to grapple with a growing economy in the run up to the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting. By contrast, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 5.55% a year ago at this time. Other indices showed even higher mortgage rates.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 21, 2023

Elevated mortgage rates and high home prices pushed sales of existing homes down again in October to the lowest monthly pace since August 2010. Multiple offers, however, are still occurring, especially on starter and mid-priced homes, even as price concessions are happening in the upper end of the market.”

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. In time, markets always find balance and balance is a good thing. With where prices were heading when mortgage rates were under 4%, we were looking at 35%-40% cumulative home-price growth in just three years.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! From NAR : “In essence, the residential real estate market was frozen in November, resembling the sales activity seen during the COVID-19 economic lockdowns in 2020,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 10, 2022

2021 was an extraordinary year for the housing market: mortgage rates at an all-time low, record high annual growth in single-family prices and rents, lowest foreclosure rates in a generation and the largest number of home sales in 15 years. In addition, more for-sale inventory will likely be available on the market.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 8, 2023

With home prices at all-time highs and concern that the labor market will break going into a recessionary period, is another 2008-style crash a possibility? The answer is no, and for that, we must thank the 2010 qualified mortgage (QM) rule, which has high standards for borrower credit scores and the ability to repay the loan.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2024

We have to remember the builders are growing sales because they can live in a sub 6% mortgage rate world, not a 7%-plus mortgage rate world like the existing home sales marketplace. However, higher mortgage rates are already impacting the builders confidence like they did last year. months, as we can see in the chart below.

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Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2022

As recession talk becomes more prevalent, some people are concerned that mortgage credit lending will get much tighter. When people say credit will get so tight that we are headed back to 2008 levels of lending, they’re telling me they’ve never read the MBA’s mortgage credit availability index, not even one time.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2021

A bullish housing market. The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. mortgage rates, so on the mortgage rate side of the equation, it’s never been better. What a year 2021 has been. We started the year with many pundits saying that the U.S.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 28, 2022

s quarter one earnings just as the stock markets opened early Thursday morning. The revenue is up 6% from the first quarter of 2021, but net income dipped from $33 million that quarter, largely due to declining fortunes for the company’s mortgage joint venture with Chicago-based mortgage lender Guaranteed Rate.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

Homebuilder confidence and demand for mortgages have increased recently, keeping hopes high for an improved housing market in 2023. But a modest recession is still expected this year, and elevated mortgage rates, coupled with high home prices, will limit housing activity, according to Fannie Mae. Prices are expected to fall 6.7%

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2023

Mortgage rates have been rising above 7% since August, which has diminished the pool of home buyers,” Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist said. Yun also expressed concern about a possible government shutdown, which could worsen the conditions in the housing market. “It The NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index fell to a reading of 71.8

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Housing Wire

APRIL 14, 2023

This article is part of our 2023 Housing Market Forecast series. The monthly Realtors Confidence Index is an essential measure of what real estate professionals are seeing in their local markets and how the market is evolving on a monthly basis. One such measure is who is entering the market. Today, the average is 2.7

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Housing Wire

MAY 30, 2023

In this article I’ll explain why this is happening and why we still have a savagely unhealthy housing market. Forward-looking housing data flipped in November, so HousingWire created the weekly Housing Market Tracker to provide real-time forward-looking housing data. million in a normal market between 1982-2023.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 4, 2020

CoreLogic released its final three-year housing and mortgage outlook report for the year on Thursday, and if numbers hold up, the data company predicts 2021 will maintain its unprecedented sales and record low mortgage rates as the economy continues to recover. On average, CoreLogic predicts mortgage rates to sit closer to 3.2%

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 31, 2022

One of the unsung heroes of the most prolonged economic and job expansion ever recorded in history was the passing of the 2005 Bankruptcy Reform Act and the 2010 qualified mortgage rule under Dodd-Frank. As we can see above, none of this happened in the expansion from 2010 to 2020, as credit standards were much better.

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