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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. Housing permits and starts are falling now, even with the backlog of homes in the system. With less transaction volume , general incomes in the housing sector are falling.

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Purchase application data is now below 2008 levels! But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. However, the housing market did run into one problem in 2020. This means less demand for housing.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%

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Existing home sales lay the path for the 2024 housing market

Housing Wire

Did today’s existing home sales report give us a playbook for housing in 2024? I would argue yes, and the housing market today looks a lot like what we saw in late 2022. In 2023, we had one big bounce in sales and then sales trended lower all year long as mortgage rates went from 6% to 8%. months in 2008.

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Home prices will drop to 2008-levels in these four cities: Goldman Sachs

Housing Wire

The company notified its clients earlier this month that based on the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price NSA Index’s projected decline, the housing market has fallen out of favor with Goldman Sachs. The company is eyeing the San Jose, Austin, Phoenix, and San Diego markets in particular.

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Housing Market Tracker: Weekly inventory adds 1,339 homes

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates fell along with bond yields, showing that mortgage rates peaked on Oct. The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! With mortgage rates also falling, I am hopeful that more people will list their homes and buy another, so we can get back to a more functional housing market.

Inventory 530
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You can’t buy what’s not for sale in the housing market

Housing Wire

The housing market functions differently than other markets because it can be characterized as a heterogeneous, thinly traded, illiquid market. In other words, it’s a diverse market with a wide variety of different homes of varying ages and levels of repair, and sales happen very rarely. The result is fewer sales.