Remove 2008 Remove Construction Remove Inventory Remove Sellers
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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

There are similarities and significant differences between the housing recession we’ve seen this year versus 2008, and looking at specific factors in both timeframes gives us an idea of what to expect in 2023. Let’s look at the recessionary factors we see now versus 2008. Housing inventory. Home sales.

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? Now don’t get me wrong: demand is better in 2020 and 2021 than in any single year from 2008 to 2019. I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52 What is going on here? housing market.

Inventory 492
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Why housing inventory is so low right now

Housing Wire

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

Inventory 494
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Why housing inventory is so low right now

Housing Wire

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

Inventory 404
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New home sales proving Wall Street was wrong 

Housing Wire

You know, the one that says we have too much inventory and millions of vacant homes in the U.S.? According to this theory, we have more homes under construction than any time in history. The truth is, it’s not 2008 all over again. I understand the lure of the housing 2008 story. When the supply is 6.5

Inventory 460
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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

There is one simple reason for this: it’s not 2008. However, the glaring difference today versus the recession of 2008, is that in 2007 the builders had to deal with over 4 million active listings as competition for their pricey new homes. 291,000 homes are still under construction: 5.7 In the last report, the builders had 9.0

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Higher rates flip the homebuilders’ fortunes (again)

Housing Wire

I wouldn’t read too much into the fact that this new home sales report beat estimates, but I would say that in the future, if mortgage rates get back toward 6%, the homebuilders have creative ways to sell their homes that the existing home seller might not be inclined to do. However, this isn’t how inventory grows in America.

Inventory 423