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How will rising rates affect new home construction?

Housing Wire

Census Bureau released their construction report for February, showing a positive trend in housing construction data with a lovely print in housing permits at 1,859,000 and housing starts at 1,769,000. So far, housing construction has done well during 2020-2022 considering the economic drama. Today, the U.S.

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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

There is one simple reason for this: it’s not 2008. However, the glaring difference today versus the recession of 2008, is that in 2007 the builders had to deal with over 4 million active listings as competition for their pricey new homes. 291,000 homes are still under construction: 5.7 In the last report, the builders had 9.0

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Housing starts data lags reality of higher mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Census Bureau released their new residential construction report for April, showing a miss on the estimate and a negative revisions data line, which I believe is lagging behind the current market reality. This demand curve prevents a boom and bust cycle from happening, as we saw from 2002 to 2008. This is a huge positive for the U.S.

Mortgage 453
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Existing home sales are working from a historic low bar

Housing Wire

It happened in 2008 and then didn’t happen again until 2023. Our housing market tracker counts weekly active single-family listings, those homes that aren’t in the contract, and the raw available number of homes for sale. Our tracker articles have a lot more details about the current weekly market and we publish those each Saturday.

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Some mortgage companies expanding despite challenges

Housing Wire

increase year over year for properties under contract, indicating that demand in the city remains strong,” said Elizabeth Anne Stribling-Kivlan, Compass’ senior managing director. When we help bring distressed properties back to the market, it’s up to 31% less expensive than a new construction home.”. during the same time.

Mortgage 382
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The last domino before a recession? Job losses

Housing Wire

From BLS: Below are the areas where the report says jobs were created, and the construction job growth data is encouraging to see. Also, we must be mindful that multifamily construction has been good this year, with rental demand still solid. We aren’t there yet, but now is the time to be mindful of it.

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What to expect from homebuilders in 2023

Housing Wire

After record sales in 2021, demand for new construction waned throughout 2022 as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates cutting into home buyer’s purchase power and making financing new development projects even more costly for builders. BH: What are you expecting to see in terms of demand for new construction heading into 2023?