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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

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How auction buyer data foreshadows housing market shifts

Housing Wire

Retail housing market data from June showing early signs of a real estate slowdown was foreshadowed three months earlier in buyer behavior at foreclosure auctions. The as-is market value is typically based on a drive-by broker price opinion or external-only appraisal given the properties are usually still occupied.

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Is the savagely unhealthy housing market back?

Housing Wire

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. This is why the days on the market are so low historically after 2020.

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The savagely unhealthy housing market is back

Housing Wire

The days on market are back to a teenager level in the existing home sales market, which means I can officially say we are back to a savagely unhealthy housing market! Nothing good happens in the housing market when the days on market are at a teenager level or lower. million in May.

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Existing home sales lay the path for the 2024 housing market

Housing Wire

Did today’s existing home sales report give us a playbook for housing in 2024? I would argue yes, and the housing market today looks a lot like what we saw in late 2022. I give more details in this interview on why I believe the housing market dynamics shifted on Nov. months in 2008. months in Oct.

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In this brutal housing market, you’ll need to make $115K to buy the typical US home

Housing Wire

The last two years of soaring mortgage rates and rising home prices have brought the fastest erosion in housing market affordability in modern history, and it’s hurt first-time homebuyers the most. buyer hovers around $2,866, an all-time high according to Redfin. In Newark, buyers need $160,000.

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Purchase application data is now below 2008 levels! But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. However, the housing market did run into one problem in 2020. This means less demand for housing.