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The Similarities Between 2007 and Today

Appraisal Buzz

During the 2007-10 mortgage default meltdown, appraisals were a target of complaints and allegations by lenders, the GSEs, some state appraisal boards, and a few unscrupulous entrepreneurs. As appraisers, we faced tremendous pressure from buyers, sellers, real estate agents, and loan officers during the previous run-up.

Appraisal 418
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Homepie CEO Brad Rice on making FSBO easier

Housing Wire

BR: This really came out of decades of being in the mortgage business. When I originated loans, there were a certain number of people that just didn’t need an agent — because the buyers and sellers knew each other in some fashion. Statistically, 67% of FSBO sellers ultimately get fatigued and they hire an agent.

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Some mortgage companies expanding despite challenges

Housing Wire

Mortgage lenders and real estate investment firms this month entered tight housing markets in the Midwest and the Northwest to better reach prospective homebuyers, despite a challenging mortgage market. Geneva Financial, founded in 2007 by Aaron VanTrojen, has more than 130 branch locations in 46 states, according to the firm.

Mortgage 382
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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

The truth is that if mortgage rates fell below 5.875% and kept going lower, everyone’s housing predictions would need to be revised this year because the builders can sell their homes with lower mortgage rates. economy isn’t in recession today, and mortgage rates have risen almost 1% from the recent lows.

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How much will home prices climb over the next year?

Housing Wire

Even as mortgage rates rose, and affordability was pushed out of reach for many potential homebuyers, there are still sufficient buyers who can afford these prices and these rates. After the mortgage rate spike in September 2022, we got significantly more bearish on home prices for 2023. If mortgage rates increase to the 7.5%

Inventory 338
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Only 70,000 new homes available for sale

Housing Wire

Last year, while the Census Bureau was reporting the new home sales numbers and the builders were having high cancellation rates, the monthly sales report didn’t account for the cancellations of contracts. They can do this by cutting prices and buying down rates, as I believe they are efficient sellers. It was 33 pct last Fall.

Inventory 516
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The real danger of releasing the GSEs from conservatorship

Housing Wire

Time is a funny thing in the mortgage business, moving in cycles like the economy. When smaller lenders and nonbank lenders look back to that time, assuming they were active sellers to the GSEs at the time, they all know where the root of the unleveled playing field came from. Then came Wall Street. With investors believing the U.S.