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Higher rates flip the homebuilders’ fortunes (again)

Housing Wire

If sales are working from an elevated number, like what we saw from 2003-2005, it’s a different subject altogether. Homebuilders’ for-sale inventory and months’ supply The seasonally-adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of January was 439,000. To get more inventory you need more Americans to list their homes.

Inventory 423
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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

In an odd twist of fate, the delays due to COVID-19 are currently an infrastructure and jobs program for Americans in the construction industry. As you can see below, housing completions are slowly moving along; the homebuilders have more new homes under construction that they haven’t even started yet than active new homes for sale.

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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

However, weeks after that call, the new listing data started to decline noticeably, which makes that call much harder to happen in 2023. However, I acknowledge that the housing dynamics have changed a lot since that forecast in June as new listing data declined. million in 2023. million for 2023. Housing recession.