Housing Wire

APRIL 13, 2022

This was the last thing we needed to see for the Housing Market , which went from unhealthy to savagely unhealthy. What I am hoping for is that higher rates create more days on the market, cool price growth down, and at some point this year, we stop being negative and be positive on a year-over-year basis.

Housing Market 397

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 397

Housing Wire

MARCH 17, 2022

Census Bureau released their construction report for February, showing a positive trend in housing construction data with a lovely print in housing permits at 1,859,000 and housing starts at 1,769,000. Of course, that’s until you look at the housing completion data, which hasn’t gone anywhere in years.

Construction 437

Construction Housing Market Inventory Buyers 437

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2022

This is the reason construction workers still have jobs, and that backlog needs to be finished; this is a positive outcome. The bigger story here is that if we want to see mortgage rates fall, we need more rental units, and right now we have a massive backlog of 2-unit homes under construction — over 900,000. percent (±12.3

Housing Market 389

Housing Market Marketing Construction Supply Chain 389

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2021

A bullish housing market. economic recovery was a false story and that we were about to embark on a second housing bubble crash due to forbearance. The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. What a year 2021 has been. The excellent.

Housing Market 520

Housing Market Marketing Construction Mortgage 520

Housing Wire

JUNE 2, 2022

One top question he addresses is how the industry is reacting to this savagely unhealthy housing market. HW+ Member: What’s the number one question you are getting from the real estate agent community on the economy and housing market? This Q&A was originally hosted on June 1st. Then this happened.

Training 385

Training Inventory Housing Market Real Estate Agent 385

Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

The one thing that has happened in 2022 that has been worse is that national inventory levels have worsened in 2022 to start the year. Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. Inventory has been falling for years.

Housing Market 303

Housing Market Marketing Supply Chain Inventory 303

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 2, 2020

I’m talking about housing market crash headlines. The housing data has been wild this year. These dramatic peaks and valleys in the data have fed the demons of greed and fear that infest the minds our extreme housing bulls and the fierce housing market bears – leading to equally wild speculations about the future of U.S.

Housing Market 545

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Design 545

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

That’s right — for all the hype of massive housing inventory coming from the builders, today we sit here still trying to work back to pre-COVID-19 levels with just 76,000 completed homes ready to be moved. As we can see in the chart below, sales levels aren’t exactly booming like they were from 2002-2005. We are at 7.8

Inventory 443

Inventory Construction Housing Market Marketing 443

Housing Wire

APRIL 25, 2023

You know, the one that says we have too much inventory and millions of vacant homes in the U.S.? According to this theory, we have more homes under construction than any time in history. I understand the lure of the housing 2008 story. In their haste, they miss the bigger picture of the housing market.

Inventory 457

Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 457

Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. In response, they stalled construction for 30 months.

Construction 498

Construction Housing Market Inventory Marketing 498

Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. family houses in July 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 511,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. This is 12.6 percent (±16.9

Construction 369

Construction Housing Market Sellers Marketing 369

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2023

Just like in the existing home sales market, when sales are low, anything positive on the rate side can move the market in a positive direction. This goes into my low housing bar theme for 2023 and why we need context with sales data. However, this isn’t how inventory grows in America. This represents a supply of 7.9

Inventory 418

Inventory Construction Housing Market Mortgage 418

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 17, 2022

For this reason, the number of housing units “under construction” is the largest ever recorded in history because they were taking so long to finish. Housing construction productivity has always been terrible compared to other sectors of our economy; I get that, as we still build homes with hammers and nails, not robots.

Contracts 533

Contracts Construction Supply Chain Marketing 533

Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. If it wasn’t for solid rental demand boosting multifamily construction this year — 18% year to date —this data line would have looked much worse.

Mortgage 529

Mortgage Construction Inventory Buyers 529

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. Over the last two and a half years of U.S.

Inventory 539

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 539

Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. However, the housing market changed once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%.

Housing Market 388

Housing Market Inventory Construction Marketing 388

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 19, 2022

In June of this year, I raised the fifth recession red flag , putting the housing market in a traditional recession where sales, incomes, jobs, and production would be falling, which is happening now. And unfortunately, one of those productions items is housing completions data — which looks terrible in the latest report.

Mortgage 490

Mortgage Construction Inventory Housing Market 490

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. As you can see below, the new home sales market from 2018-2022 doesn’t look like the housing market we had from 2002-2005.

Mortgage 435

Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 435

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

Looking at the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo homebuilder confidence data and builder stock prices, I can say the homebuilders got very lucky this time around in the middle of a housing recession. They have less competition as they are working from low sales levels in today’s housing market. months of supply.

Construction 465

Construction Housing Market Inventory Mortgage 465

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 15, 2024

years in 2005, according to a Redfin analysis of median U.S. housing market for multiple reasons, Redfin said. Homeowner tenure is projected to remain flat, but a larger share of homeowners remaining in place is also contributing to an inventory shortage, according to the report. years last year, up from 6.5

Property Taxes 443

Property Taxes Insurance Construction Inventory 443

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2023

Tuesday’s housing starts data does show some promise on the front of attacking inflation and helping lowering mortgage rates, so let’s look at the report and find out what I am talking about. First, however, remember that the housing market is still in a recession, which I wrote about on June 16, 2022. percent (±13.3

Mortgage 486

Mortgage Construction Supply Chain Housing Market 486

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2022

million level we saw in 2005. However, it does show that the builders are in a much better spot to deal with their massive supply, compared to the 2005-2008 period. They are good at selling their inventory much quicker than existing home sellers, who might still be stingy on prices. months are under construction, 1.86

Construction 447

Construction Sellers Inventory Housing Market 447

Housing Wire

JANUARY 19, 2022

Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. This is the highest level housing starts have reached in the past nine months. Construction of single-family homes dropped 2.3% from November to 1.172 million units, the construction of multifamily units again posted a sizable increase of 13.7% Census Bureau.

Construction 389

Construction Housing Market Inventory Development 389

Housing Wire

JUNE 27, 2023

NAR total active listings data going back to 1982 : This explains why the builders and new homes are doing better than the existing home sales market, which deals with higher mortgage rates and low active listings. Some people prefer something other than the current active existing inventory. Now on to the report. When supply is 4.4-6.4

Construction 476

Construction Inventory Marketing Buyers 476

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2022

From the National Association of Home Builders : For many years I have stressed that the most important housing data I follow is the monthly supply of new homes. It gives an idea of what to expect for housing construction. adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of January was 406,000. When supply is 4.4

Construction 372

Construction Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 372

Housing Wire

JUNE 24, 2022

The market has changed with rates so much higher, but for the most part, the builders are managing the recent weakness in sales as best they can. Census: For Sale Inventory and Months’ Supply The seasonally?adjusted adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of May was 444,000. This represents a supply of 7.7

Inventory 432

Inventory Construction Marketing Mortgage 432

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

As we can see below, the uptrend in sales is still intact, so housing starts have held up OK. Even though multifamily construction has boosted housing starts recently, the slowdown in single-family purchases hasn’t been anything too dramatic yet. From Census: The median sales price of new houses sold in March 2022 was $436,700.

Construction 320

Construction Buyers Housing Market Inventory 320

Housing Wire

MAY 6, 2022

We haven’t seen that yet; the -12% YoY decline is a noticeable weakness, but nothing too dramatic yet like what we saw from 2005-to 2008. HousingWire: Will inventory finally break the streak and be positive year over year? HousingWire: What is the biggest risk to your balance housing market take?

Inventory 321

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Construction 321

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2022

It didn’t help the builders that they had a global pandemic and we still have many new homes either in construction or that haven’t been started yet. months 290,000 new homes are still under construction, about 5.5 That would reverse the problem the housing market has had selling homes with mortgage rates above 7%.

Construction 333

Construction Housing Market Mortgage Sellers 333

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2020

Construction continued to play catch-up also as Novembers new-home inventory rose nearly 14% to a 4.1-month month supply – inching ever closer to the six-month supply sweet spot that suggests a balanced market. The median sales price for new houses at the end of November was $335,300, over $7000 higher year-over-year.

Construction 293

Construction Inventory Buyers Marketing 293

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2022

In 2005, when the housing bubble peaked in sales at around 1.4 The housing market has been in a recession since June of this year, and we have other data lines that can be more useful in gauging the new home sales sector. months, and below, this is an excellent market for builders. This represents a supply of 8.9

Construction 425

Construction Marketing Housing Market Mortgage 425

Housing Wire

JANUARY 19, 2022

You always want to be skeptical of any housing starts data that comes in too strong or too negative from the trend, and we had some specific factors in this report that boosted multifamily construction. Some of the demand that we saw from 2002-2005 was facilitated by credit that no longer exists in the marketplace today.

Construction 374

Construction Housing Market Inventory Marketing 374

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2021

Even in the extreme conditions of COVID-19, my general premise on housing economics predicted that the two variables with the most influence — demographics and mortgage rates — would hold up the housing market. Also, the market we have today doesn’t look like the credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. The forecast.

Housing Market 538

Housing Market Inventory Mortgage Marketing 538

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 5, 2021

With the housing sector battling ongoing supply constraints , a loss of 3,000 jobs in construction employment may be a slight hiccup after 8 solid months of growth. But Mike Fratantoni, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association , said he expects construction to grow later in the year.

Construction 309

Construction Lending Retail Inventory 309

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2020

Housing inventory and prices. Given the low interest rates that are driving demand, housing inventory has become a rising concern. MBA Associate Vice President of Industry Analysis Joel Kan explained that current inventory rests at just a three-month supply. trillion in 2005.

Mortgage 380

Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 380

Empire Appraisal Group

OCTOBER 28, 2021

USA TODAY spoke to eight experts to find out if a housing crash is on the horizon. For one, they say the housing market in 2021 is not like the boom-bust cycle leading up to the Great Recession. Given the strong housing market and price appreciation, banks are more likely to work with borrowers to restructure their loans.

Inventory 78

Inventory Housing Market Construction Real Estate 78

Lamacchia Realty

DECEMBER 28, 2021

2021 is going down in history as a historical year for the housing market across America. The inventory of homes for sale and the number of homes being listed for sale were not nearly enough to satisfy the buyer demand. Here is why: We are heading into 2022 with lower inventory than a year ago at the end of 2020.

Sellers 74

Sellers Inventory Buyers Realtors 74