Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A few months ago, I wrote that the new home sales sector is at risk because of rising mortgage rates. As you can see, sales levels were never elevated like what we saw from 2002-2005. This housing cycle is and will always be based on real demand, versus the credit boom we saw from 2002 to 2005. Slow and steady wins the race.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Even though this was a beat of estimates, the sales decline trend due to higher mortgage rates and home prices continues. The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . I am a big fan of inventory to 2019 levels.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2022

From NAR: In the last few months of the year, existing home sales have been outperforming my sales ranges noticeably, and I talked about how sales could moderate, but mortgage demand ended 2021 on a solid note. million is if home prices accelerate above my five-year cumulative growth rate of 23% and mortgage rates rise. million to 6.2

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. million listings.

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

However, this year has seen one big game-changer: the 10-year yield finally cracked over 1.94%, which drove mortgage rates over 4%. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. million and 1.93

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. Housing demand has been stable for the past few years; we have never had a credit boom in demand since 2002-2005. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.0-month

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 12, 2020

Some of their biggest hits (or should I say misses) in the last 8 years have been the never-realized silver tsunami crash, the ever popular investor supply crash, the Airbnb supply crash, and this year, COVID-19 was for sure going to send prices crashing 30%-50%. Mortgage demand, too, is at an 11-year high.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2021

It’s the same reason I have given for many years: the American bears who are typically housing crash addicts can’t read data correctly, and the mortgage purchase application data just proved my point once again. Then everyone went crazy on investors and iBuyers , suggesting that these people were holding up the entire housing market.

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Housing Wire

MAY 9, 2022

housing market is more tied to mortgage buyers. Just last month, Canada’s prime minister proposed a two-year ban on some foreign investors buying Canadian real estate to try to tame price growth. We are a monster compared to them in population and the majority of homebuyers in America use mortgages. While the U.S.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2021

Even in the extreme conditions of COVID-19, my general premise on housing economics predicted that the two variables with the most influence — demographics and mortgage rates — would hold up the housing market. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates. That range dictated that mortgage rates would roughly stay between 3.5%-4.75%.

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Will Springer Realtor

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

and jump in mortgage rates of 4 percentage points has created a housing market belly flop. Historically low interest rates brought buyers and investors out of the woodwork for any homes for sale. months’ inventory while Seattle is at 2.5 The market is still moving forward but at a pace more glacial than brisk.

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Appraisal Today

MAY 12, 2023

Fannie Mae will end up creating more instability for the trillions in the bond market – investors will have to process millions of valuations with the physical attributes of the home collected by unlicensed, uninsured, and unprepared individuals getting paid $10-$25 per inspection. Mortgage lending is very, very cyclical.

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Will Springer Realtor

OCTOBER 11, 2022

At what point will mortgage interest rates peak? While investors of mortgaged securities help dictate their interest rates, the Federal Reserve is behind the scenes influencing the overall lending environment. When you raise [mortgage] rates to the point they’re at today, it breaks the back of housing.”.

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