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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. In one of the most historical years in the U.S.

Inventory 539
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Mortgage applications fell another 3.1% last week

Housing Wire

The rate for FHA mortgages increased to 7.02%, its highest rate since 2002. The purchase index fell for the fourth consecutive week, as homebuyers continue to struggle with low for-sale inventory and elevated mortgage rates, added Kan. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs climbed to 6.36% from 6.18% a week prior.

Mortgage 328
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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

From NAR Research : “Total existing-home sales notched a minor contraction of 0.4% Total Inventory data fell in this report from 1.31 It doesn’t even look like we will breach the lower level of my inventory wish list of 1.52 I am a big fan of inventory to 2019 levels. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.2-month

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New Hampshire 2023 Year in Review

Lamacchia Realty

This scarcity in inventory exerted upward pressure on prices, although it coincided with a 19% decline in sales. Despite this decline, motivated buyers were out there trying to secure a home while also trying to navigate lower affordability and low inventory. Average prices for closed sales increased by 7.2% Sales Decline by 18.9%

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Builders apply the brakes amid canceled contracts

Housing Wire

For the builders, they have a new problem: they had homes under contract and then mortgage rates jumped in the biggest fashion ever recorded in history. If the builders could, they would take some of the past contracts back, but they’re just stuck with these homes. I personally wouldn’t do it.

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Are new home sales flagging a recession?

Housing Wire

As you can see, sales levels were never elevated like what we saw from 2002-2005. This housing cycle is and will always be based on real demand, versus the credit boom we saw from 2002 to 2005. However, this isn’t going to help much because the existing home sales market has a different inventory channel. What do we have now?

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ChatGPT for Appraisers

Appraisal Today

Anyway, I don’t mind going back in time and out further, but my preference in an appraisal report is to use older comps from the immediate neighborhood and adjust for how the market has changed since those properties got into contract. percent, the highest rate since 2002. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs increased to 6.36