Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

That’s right — for all the hype of massive housing inventory coming from the builders, today we sit here still trying to work back to pre-COVID-19 levels with just 76,000 completed homes ready to be moved. As we can see in the chart below, sales levels aren’t exactly booming like they were from 2002-2005. When supply is 4.4-6.4

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2022

This is the reason construction workers still have jobs, and that backlog needs to be finished; this is a positive outcome. The bigger story here is that if we want to see mortgage rates fall, we need more rental units, and right now we have a massive backlog of 2-unit homes under construction — over 900,000. percent (±12.3

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Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. “I don’t expect a boom in housing construction.

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Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. The market is savagely unhealthy and needs balance; this is what we call balance! As you can see, sales levels were never elevated like what we saw from 2002-2005. Guess what happened in March?

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Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

The one thing that has happened in 2022 that has been worse is that national inventory levels have worsened in 2022 to start the year. Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. Inventory has been falling for years. months on a 3-month average.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. If it wasn’t for solid rental demand boosting multifamily construction this year — 18% year to date —this data line would have looked much worse. Why do I call it a housing recession?

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Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. Over the last two and a half years of U.S.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. This sector on an apples-to-apples basis is more expensive than the existing home sales market. The only risk to that 6.2

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Housing Wire

JUNE 24, 2022

The market has changed with rates so much higher, but for the most part, the builders are managing the recent weakness in sales as best they can. Census: For Sale Inventory and Months’ Supply The seasonally?adjusted The monthly supply data for new homes often get mixed up with the existing home sales market. When supply is 4.4

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2021

A bullish housing market. The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. Housing permits are growing and this is a good thing for the economy and construction jobs. What a year 2021 has been. We started the year with many pundits saying that the U.S.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 17, 2022

For this reason, the number of housing units “under construction” is the largest ever recorded in history because they were taking so long to finish. Housing construction productivity has always been terrible compared to other sectors of our economy; I get that, as we still build homes with hammers and nails, not robots.

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Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2023

In a bid to strengthen its position in the Gulf Coast market, has acquired Truland Homes , the largest private homebuilder along the Gulf Coast, according to an announcement issued Thursday. Horton’s already strong local market operations.” Horton has been the largest homebuilder by volume in the United States since 2002.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2022

To be honest here, the new home sales market is stuck for now. It gives an idea of what to expect for housing construction. months and below, this is an excellent market for the builders. months, this is an OK market for the builders. months and above, the builders will pull back on construction. When supply is 6.5

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. So for now, the builders will take their time with the homes under construction and make sure they offer enough incentives to unload the new home supply they’re dealing with.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

Tuesday, the new home sales report for March came in as a miss of estimates at 763,000, but the revisions were all positive, which shows that the housing data is still lagging behind the current market reality. The new home sales market doesn’t have a 28% cash-buyer profile as we saw in the last existing home sales report.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2022

It didn’t help the builders that they had a global pandemic and we still have many new homes either in construction or that haven’t been started yet. months 290,000 new homes are still under construction, about 5.5 That would reverse the problem the housing market has had selling homes with mortgage rates above 7%. percent (±22.7

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 19, 2022

You always want to be skeptical of any housing starts data that comes in too strong or too negative from the trend, and we had some specific factors in this report that boosted multifamily construction. Some of the demand that we saw from 2002-2005 was facilitated by credit that no longer exists in the marketplace today. This is 17.2

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2021

Even in the extreme conditions of COVID-19, my general premise on housing economics predicted that the two variables with the most influence — demographics and mortgage rates — would hold up the housing market. We got to as low as 0.32% on that Monday morning in March when the crisis was hitting the markets the hardest. The forecast.

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Will Springer Realtor

DECEMBER 8, 2021

Amid rising land and construction costs, permits for single-family homes in King County slowed in the third quarter to 940, down 7.8% Who said this is a sellers’ market? Perhaps it’s truly a builders’ market. Lot availability is at multi-decade lows and the construction industry currently has more than 330,000 open positions.”.

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Appraisal Today

OCTOBER 21, 2022

Appraisers and Local Market Analysis. Excerpts: Social media and the mainstream media make a mess of these markets even in the best of times. They do not have the bandwidth to cover local markets. National data simply does not apply to the local real estate market and the closest large markets are Richmond and Washington DC.

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Will Springer Realtor

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Seriously though, there must be a ceiling to rising rates that have all but extinguished a robust housing market. We are now seeing “7s” in front of some rates to new mortgage consumers – a figure not seen since April 2002 – causing applications for new loans to hit a 25-year low this month. ( home prices will decline 5.5%

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Appraisal Today

AUGUST 13, 2023

NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on non lender appraisals, liability, markets with few sales, Bias, unusual homes, mortgage origination A California Winery With a 91-Acre Vineyard for $12,995,000 Red Soles Winery, a 91-acre vineyard. Markets hate uncertainty. garage as well.

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