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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

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The housing market is now savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

To get the housing market to be sane and normal again, we need inventory to get back in a range between 1.52 – 1.93 million ; this is still historically low, but this gives the housing market a breather from the madness that we see today. However, a seller is also a natural homebuyer, unless they’re an investor.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

As you can see from the chart above, the last several years have not had the FOMO (fear of missing out) housing credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. What I mean by a credit bust is that after the housing bubble burst in 2005 into 2006, we saw a massive increase in supply. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22

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The standoff between homebuyers and sellers

Housing Wire

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.

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The 2022 housing market: A tale of two halves

Housing Wire

Marty Green thinks of the housing market in 2022 as two very different movies. ” Houses were selling at a fever pitch in a matter of days, with multiple offers, waived contingencies and buyers paying $100,000(!) But the housing market in the second half of 2022? over asking price. High octane stuff.

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How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. million, the housing market can be sane again, even though those levels were the historically low levels of inventory going back to 1982.

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Dave Stevens on understanding this housing market

Housing Wire

I have been part of the mortgage banking industry since 1983 — 39 years to date through different housing markets. In many ways it was similar to today, with one exception: When I started, I hadn’t been spoiled by a housing market like the one in 2020 and 2021. economy, especially the mortgage and housing sector.