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The housing market is still savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. 2014 was the last year total inventory grew.

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Is the housing market really 20% overbuilt?

Housing Wire

Nevertheless, some supposedly erudite thinkers on the housing market are saying this, so I thought I should investigate. If the housing market was in the grips of some mass hysteria of irrational purchasing, we would expect to see certain hallmarks in the data. The post Is the housing market really 20% overbuilt?

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. months shows how far we are from 2008 housing economics.

Inventory 545
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The housing market is now savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

Inventory has been slowly falling since 2014, so if demand picks up in 2020-2024, it can collapse to shallow levels. To get the housing market to be sane and normal again, we need inventory to get back in a range between 1.52 – 1.93 Housing is the cost of shelter to own the debt; it’s not an investment.

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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory falls

Housing Wire

Even though the labor market is currently showing signs of getting softer , there is no job-loss recession yet. As you can see in the chart below, there is a big difference between the current housing market and those looking for a repeat of 2008. Mortgage rates in a regular market should be 5.25% today but are at 6.5%.

Inventory 483
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Beware of gloom and doom housing market crash headlines

Housing Wire

I’m talking about housing market crash headlines. The housing data has been wild this year. These dramatic peaks and valleys in the data have fed the demons of greed and fear that infest the minds our extreme housing bulls and the fierce housing market bears – leading to equally wild speculations about the future of U.S.

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This savagely unhealthy housing market needs higher rates

Housing Wire

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. We are not taking the unhealthy housing market theme off this marketplace.